FIFA World Cup — 0 live markets
World Cup Predictions
Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? The honest answer is whoever the prediction market gives the shortest price. Below: live outright odds, golden boot, and every group and knockout match priced by Kalshi and Polymarket. For a tournament-only companion, see our 2026 FIFA World Cup deep dive.
Outright & Tournament Markets
World Cup Matches
Kalshi · CFTC-Regulated · 50 States + D.C.
Trade on anything. New traders get $10.
Use code SOCPREDICTS on Kalshi to claim a $10 starter credit. USD-settled, no crypto wallet.
50 eligible US states + D.C. ▾
Alabama · Alaska · Arizona · Arkansas · California · Colorado · Connecticut · Delaware · District of Columbia · Florida · Georgia · Hawaii · Idaho · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Louisiana · Maine · Maryland · Massachusetts · Michigan · Minnesota · Mississippi · Missouri · Montana · Nebraska · New Hampshire · New Jersey · New Mexico · New York · North Carolina · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Tennessee · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · Washington · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming.
Polymarket · USDC-settled iOS only
Deposit $20. Get a $50 Trading Bonus.
Use code SOCPREDICTS on the Polymarket iOS app. World's largest prediction market — 0% global fees.
50 eligible US states + D.C. ▾
Alabama · Alaska · Arizona · Arkansas · California · Colorado · Connecticut · Delaware · District of Columbia · Florida · Georgia · Hawaii · Idaho · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Louisiana · Maine · Maryland · Massachusetts · Michigan · Minnesota · Mississippi · Missouri · Montana · Nebraska · New Hampshire · New Jersey · New Mexico · New York · North Carolina · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Tennessee · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · Washington · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming.
Rebet · US Mobile Sweeps
100% purchase match up to $100
Use code SOCPREDICTS on the Rebet app — mobile only, 40 US states.
40 eligible US states ▾
Alabama · Alaska · Arkansas · Colorado · Delaware · District of Columbia · Florida · Georgia · Hawaii · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Maine · Massachusetts · Minnesota · Mississippi · Missouri · Nebraska · New Hampshire · New Mexico · North Carolina · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Tennessee · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · Washington · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming.
How to Read World Cup Prediction Markets
An outright price of 18¢ on a team to win the World Cup means the market gives them roughly an 18% chance — and that the $1 contract trades for 18¢ today. If you sum the cent prices across all teams, the total clusters around 100¢ (small margins above come from order-book spreads).
Prediction markets typically beat consensus expert picks at major tournaments. Real-money traders react to injuries, lineups, and form within minutes; pundit lists update once a week.
FAQ
Who is favourite to win the World Cup?
Whichever country has the highest cent price in the outright winner market above. Prices shift after every match, so check live before committing to a take.
How accurate are World Cup predictions from Kalshi and Polymarket?
Across recent major tournaments, prediction-market favourites have won at close to the rate their prices imply. They consistently outperform expert polls and most statistical models.
Can I bet on the World Cup on Kalshi or Polymarket?
Both let you buy and sell contracts that settle based on real outcomes. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange; Polymarket is a global crypto-based prediction market. Check your jurisdiction.
What is the Golden Boot market?
It pays out on the World Cup's top goalscorer. Prices are typically tight — the favourite is rarely above 20¢ because the field is wide.