Match Winner Odds

The match winner market — also called 1X2 — pays out on home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2). Each match below shows the live home-win price; tap through to see the full 1X2 line.

Highest-Conviction Match Winner Picks

Sorted by strongest live market price

· InternationalSUN MAY 31
OutcomeKalshiPolySpr
GERGermany89%·
XDraw8%·
FINFinland4%·
· Soccer LIVE
OutcomeKalshiPolySpr
CCACD Castellón80¢·
XDraw16¢·
SEISD Eibar3¢·
· SoccerSUN MAY 31
OutcomeKalshiPolySpr
CVDCR Vasco da Gama47¢·
XDraw29¢·
CMICA Mineiro25¢·
· InternationalSUN MAY 31
OutcomeKalshiPolySpr
USAUsa36%·
XDraw27%·
SENSenegal38%·
· Soccer LIVE
OutcomeKalshiPolySpr
RDLRC Deportivo La Coruña9¢·
XDraw22¢·
ULPUD Las Palmas69¢·
· Ligue 1SUN MAY 31
OutcomeKalshiPolySpr
NANNantes6%·
XDraw70%·
TOUToulouse14%·

All Match Winner Markets — Next 24h

8 live markets

· Soccer LIVE
OutcomeKalshiPolySpr
RDLRC Deportivo La Coruña9¢·
XDraw22¢·
ULPUD Las Palmas69¢·
· Soccer LIVE
OutcomeKalshiPolySpr
CCACD Castellón80¢·
XDraw16¢·
SEISD Eibar3¢·
· Soccer LIVE
OutcomeKalshiPolySpr
RZAReal Zaragoza5¢·
XDraw13¢·
MCFMálaga CF82¢·
· SoccerSUN MAY 31
OutcomeKalshiPolySpr
CVDCR Vasco da Gama47¢·
XDraw29¢·
CMICA Mineiro25¢·
· Ligue 1SUN MAY 31
OutcomeKalshiPolySpr
NANNantes6%·
XDraw70%·
TOUToulouse14%·
· InternationalSUN MAY 31
OutcomeKalshiPolySpr
USAUsa36%·
XDraw27%·
SENSenegal38%·
· InternationalSUN MAY 31
OutcomeKalshiPolySpr
GERGermany89%·
XDraw8%·
FINFinland4%·

How the Match Winner Market Works

A 1X2 contract pays $1 if your selected outcome happens. If the home side trades at 55¢, the market gives them a 55% chance — and you risk 55¢ to win 45¢. Add the three cent prices (home + draw + away) and they cluster near 100¢; the small premium above is the market's bid–ask spread.

Compared to bookmaker decimal odds, prediction-market prices have no built-in vig, so the implied probability is cleaner. To translate a 55¢ price into decimal odds, divide 1 by 0.55 — that's 1.82.

FAQ

What does 1X2 mean in soccer betting?

1 = home win, X = draw, 2 = away win. It's the most common soccer market, and the one priced on this page.

How do I find the best match winner odds?

The cards above show the higher cent price between Kalshi and Polymarket. Tap a card to see both books side-by-side and the underlying market link.

Are draws priced too?

Yes — Kalshi and Polymarket both list the draw market when liquidity exists. Tap any match to expand the full 1X2 line.

Why do prediction-market odds beat bookmaker odds?

Bookmakers add margin to guarantee profit. Prediction markets match buyers and sellers directly, so the implied probability isn't padded.