Match Winner Odds
The match winner market — also called 1X2 — pays out on home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2). Each match below shows the live home-win price; tap through to see the full 1X2 line.
Highest-Conviction Match Winner Picks
Sorted by strongest live market price
All Match Winner Markets — Next 24h
9 live markets
How the Match Winner Market Works
A 1X2 contract pays $1 if your selected outcome happens. If the home side trades at 55¢, the market gives them a 55% chance — and you risk 55¢ to win 45¢. Add the three cent prices (home + draw + away) and they cluster near 100¢; the small premium above is the market's bid–ask spread.
Compared to bookmaker decimal odds, prediction-market prices have no built-in vig, so the implied probability is cleaner. To translate a 55¢ price into decimal odds, divide 1 by 0.55 — that's 1.82.
FAQ
What does 1X2 mean in soccer betting?
1 = home win, X = draw, 2 = away win. It's the most common soccer market, and the one priced on this page.
How do I find the best match winner odds?
The cards above show the higher cent price between Kalshi and Polymarket. Tap a card to see both books side-by-side and the underlying market link.
Are draws priced too?
Yes — Kalshi and Polymarket both list the draw market when liquidity exists. Tap any match to expand the full 1X2 line.
Why do prediction-market odds beat bookmaker odds?
Bookmakers add margin to guarantee profit. Prediction markets match buyers and sellers directly, so the implied probability isn't padded.
Keep exploring
Sources
- Kalshi — soccer markets & rulebookLive contract prices and settlement rules for CFTC-regulated event contracts.
- Polymarket — sports marketsLive USDC-settled order books and resolution criteria.
- CFTC — event contractsUS regulator overseeing designated contract markets that list event contracts.
- FIFA — competitions & fixturesOfficial fixture, squad and tournament data used to label markets.