Outright Odds
Outrights are season- or tournament-long markets: league winner, top scorer, relegation, knockout-round qualification. Prices below are live from Kalshi and Polymarket and update every 15 seconds.
Live Outright Markets
How Outright Markets Work
An outright contract pays $1 if the named outcome happens by season end. A price of 38¢ on "Manchester City to win the Premier League" means the market gives them a 38% chance — and you pay 38¢ to claim the dollar if it lands.
Outrights move slowly until they don't. A title race tightens after one bad weekend; a Golden Boot favourite drifts after a hamstring tweak. Because the contract runs months, even small probability shifts are worth real cents — outright markets are where patient analysts find edge. For tournament-specific reading, see this World Cup outrights guide.
FAQ
What is an outright bet in soccer?
A wager on a season- or tournament-long outcome: league winner, top scorer, relegation, World Cup champion. It settles at the end of the competition, not after a single match.
Where do these outright prices come from?
Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets. Both list real-money contracts that settle on the official competition outcome.
How do I convert a cent price to decimal odds?
Divide 1 by the cent price as a decimal. 25¢ = 1 / 0.25 = 4.0 decimal odds, equivalent to +300 American.
When do outright markets settle?
When the underlying competition officially ends — the league trophy presentation, the final match, or the season's last fixture.