Soccer Prediction Markets in USA

USA — Where you can trade

Kalshi

Trade $25 and get $25 with code SOCPREDICTS →

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

ProphetX

ProphetX is a sports-first prediction market that the CFTC designated as a contract market on June 11, 2026. US residents (minimum age 18, or the local age of majority if higher; we recommend 21+) in 49 states + D.C. (Nevada excluded) can deposit and trade soccer contracts peer-to-peer.

Trade $50 and get $75 with code SOCPREDICTS →

New users only. T&Cs apply. ProphetX's minimum age is 18 (or the local age of majority if higher); we recommend 21+. Not available in Nevada. Trading involves risk. prophetx.co

Polymarket

US residents use the Polymarket US app, which runs on a CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization and trades in dollars. It is available in 49 states + D.C. (Nevada excluded); new users can deposit $10 and get a $25 trading bonus with code SOCPREDICTS.

Deposit $10, get a $25 bonus with code SOCPREDICTS →

USA: trade on ProphetX, Kalshi or the Polymarket US app — all CFTC-regulated.

What changed: dated US federal timeline with sources ↓

ProphetX · CFTC-Regulated · Sports-First · 49 states + D.C.

Same moments, bigger payouts. Trade $50, get $75.

Use code SOCPREDICTS on ProphetX, trade $50 and get $75 back. Sports-first peer-to-peer exchange.

Trade Now →

ProphetX: trade $50, earn $75 (new users)

49 eligible US states + D.C. ▾

Alabama · Alaska · Arizona · Arkansas · California · Colorado · Connecticut · Delaware · District of Columbia · Florida · Georgia · Hawaii · Idaho · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Louisiana · Maine · Maryland · Massachusetts · Michigan · Minnesota · Mississippi · Missouri · Montana · Nebraska · New Hampshire · New Jersey · New Mexico · New York · North Carolina · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Tennessee · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · Washington · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming.

New users only. T&Cs apply. ProphetX's minimum age is 18 (or the local age of majority if higher); we recommend 21+. Not available in Nevada. Trading involves risk. prophetx.co

Kalshi · CFTC-Regulated · 47 states + D.C.

Trade on anything. Trade $25 and get $25.

Use code SOCPREDICTS on Kalshi, trade $25 and get $25 back. USD-settled, no crypto wallet.

Trade Now →

47 eligible US states + D.C. ▾

Alabama · Alaska · Arizona · Arkansas · California · Colorado · Connecticut · Delaware · District of Columbia · Florida · Georgia · Hawaii · Idaho · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Louisiana · Maine · Maryland · Massachusetts · Minnesota · Mississippi · Missouri · Montana · Nebraska · New Hampshire · New Jersey · New Mexico · New York · North Carolina · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Tennessee · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming.

Polymarket US · CFTC-regulated

Deposit $10. Get a $25 Trading Bonus.

Use code SOCPREDICTS on the Polymarket US app. World's largest prediction market.

Trade Now →

49 eligible US states + D.C. ▾

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

Rebet · US Mobile Sweeps

100% purchase match up to $100

Use code SOCPREDICTS on the Rebet app — mobile only, 38 US states + D.C.

Claim on Rebet →

38 US states + D.C. ▾

Alabama · Alaska · Arkansas · Colorado · Delaware · District of Columbia · Florida · Georgia · Hawaii · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Maine · Massachusetts · Minnesota · Mississippi · Missouri · Nebraska · New Hampshire · New Mexico · North Carolina · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · Washington · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming.

USA Soccer Guides

Today in USA

What changed: US federal timeline

The main federal events for prediction markets, newest first. The appeals-court rulings were made at the preliminary-injunction stage, not as final decisions. This list covers federal events only: state rules differ and several states have their own court cases, so check your own state. This is a record of events, not legal advice.

September 25, 2026
Sixth Circuit rules against Kalshi in Ohio and Tennessee appeals
The Sixth Circuit held that Kalshi had not shown its sports event contracts are "swaps" and that federal commodities law does not preempt Ohio or Tennessee gambling laws. It upheld the Ohio denial of an injunction and overturned the injunction Kalshi had won in Tennessee.
Source: U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit (opinion, Nos. 26-3196/26-5235)
September 14, 2026
Crypto.com reported to have asked the Supreme Court to review the Ninth Circuit ruling
Trade press reported that Crypto.com filed a petition for certiorari, joining Robinhood in asking the U.S. Supreme Court to decide whether federal commodities law preempts state regulation of sports event contracts.
Reported by Sports Betting Dime (press report)
September 10, 2026
Kalshi seeks Ninth Circuit rehearing; Robinhood petitions the Supreme Court
Trade press reported that Kalshi asked the full Ninth Circuit to rehear its Nevada case, while Robinhood filed a petition asking the U.S. Supreme Court to review the same ruling.
Reported by Sports Betting Dime (press report)
September 2, 2026
New Jersey asks the U.S. Supreme Court to review the Kalshi preemption ruling
The New Jersey Attorney General filed a petition for certiorari asking the Supreme Court to decide whether prediction markets can offer sports contracts without following state sports-gambling laws. The Court has not yet said whether it will hear the case.
Source: New Jersey Office of the Attorney General
August 28, 2026
Ninth Circuit rules for Nevada regulators in Kalshi case
In KalshiEX v. Assad, a three-judge Ninth Circuit panel upheld the dissolution of an injunction that had protected Kalshi in Nevada, finding Kalshi had not shown that federal commodities law likely preempts Nevada gaming rules for its sports event contracts.
Source: U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit (opinion, No. 25-7516)
June 16, 2026
Novig exchange receives CFTC designation as a contract market
Novig announced that the CFTC designated its exchange as a Designated Contract Market. The CFTC register lists Ludlow Exchange, LLC, named in press reports as Novig's exchange subsidiary, as designated on the same date.
Source: Sports Betting Dime
June 11, 2026
CFTC designates ProphetX LLC as a contract market
The CFTC register of trading organizations shows ProphetX LLC as a designated contract market as of June 11, 2026. Trade press reported that the company was also approved as a derivatives clearing organization the same day.
Source: CFTC Trading Organizations register (ProphetX LLC)
April 6, 2026
Third Circuit sides with Kalshi against New Jersey regulators
In KalshiEX v. Flaherty, a divided Third Circuit panel upheld an injunction blocking New Jersey from enforcing its gambling laws against Kalshi's sports event contracts, finding Kalshi had a reasonable chance of showing federal commodities law preempts state law. One judge dissented.
Source: U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit (opinion, No. 25-1922)
July 9, 2025
CFTC designates QCX LLC, later operating as Polymarket US
The CFTC register of trading organizations shows QCX LLC as a designated contract market as of July 9, 2025, and notes the exchange now operates under the name Polymarket US.
Source: CFTC Trading Organizations register (QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US)

Keep exploring

Sources

Kalshi — soccer markets & rulebookLive contract prices and settlement rules for CFTC-regulated event contracts.
Polymarket — sports marketsLive order books and market resolution rules.
CFTC — event contractsUS regulator overseeing designated contract markets that list event contracts.
FIFA — competitions & fixturesOfficial fixture, squad and tournament data used to label markets.

Frequently asked questions

Can I legally trade soccer prediction markets in United States?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market headquartered in New York. US residents in 47 states + D.C. can fund accounts in USD and trade soccer event contracts (our editorial policy is 21+). Whether states may apply their gambling laws to sports contracts is disputed in court: at the preliminary stage the Third Circuit sided with Kalshi (April 6, 2026) while the Ninth (August 28) and Sixth (September 25) Circuits sided with the states, and petitions asking the Supreme Court to take up the question are pending (as of October 1, 2026). US residents use the Polymarket US app, which runs on a CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization and trades in dollars. It is available in 49 states + D.C. (Nevada excluded); new users can deposit $10 and get a $25 trading bonus with code SOCPREDICTS.

What soccer leagues do you cover for USA?

2026 FIFA World Cup, MLS, Premier League, Champions League, La Liga — every fixture is priced live by Kalshi and Polymarket where available.

Are prediction-market odds better than bookmaker odds?

For raw probability, yes. Prediction markets do not bake in a bookmaker margin, so the implied probability is cleaner. Bookmaker odds still matter if you want to place a regulated bet through a sportsbook in USA.

USA — Where you can trade

Same moments, bigger payouts. Trade $50, get $75.

Trade on anything. Trade $25 and get $25.

Deposit $10. Get a $25 Trading Bonus.

100% purchase match up to $100

USA Soccer Guides

Today in USA

What changed: US federal timeline

Sixth Circuit rules against Kalshi in Ohio and Tennessee appeals

Crypto.com reported to have asked the Supreme Court to review the Ninth Circuit ruling

Kalshi seeks Ninth Circuit rehearing; Robinhood petitions the Supreme Court

New Jersey asks the U.S. Supreme Court to review the Kalshi preemption ruling

Ninth Circuit rules for Nevada regulators in Kalshi case

Novig exchange receives CFTC designation as a contract market

CFTC designates ProphetX LLC as a contract market

Third Circuit sides with Kalshi against New Jersey regulators

CFTC designates QCX LLC, later operating as Polymarket US

Keep exploring

Sources

Frequently asked questions