WORLD CUP PREDICTIONS

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is over, and its markets have settled. This hub keeps any World Cup contracts still trading, and points you to the live soccer outrights that replaced them — league titles, the Champions League and season-long top scorer markets. Start with all outright markets or today’s predictions. For tournament-only coverage, see our 2026 FIFA World Cup deep dive.

World Cup Matches

Kalshi · CFTC-Regulated · 47 states + D.C.

Trade on anything. Trade $25 and get $25.

Use code SOCPREDICTS on Kalshi, trade $25 and get $25 back. USD-settled, no crypto wallet.

Trade Now →

47 eligible US states + D.C. ▾

Alabama · Alaska · Arizona · Arkansas · California · Colorado · Connecticut · Delaware · District of Columbia · Florida · Georgia · Hawaii · Idaho · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Louisiana · Maine · Maryland · Massachusetts · Minnesota · Mississippi · Missouri · Montana · Nebraska · New Hampshire · New Jersey · New Mexico · New York · North Carolina · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Tennessee · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming.

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Polymarket US · CFTC-regulated

Deposit $10. Get a $25 Trading Bonus.

Use code SOCPREDICTS on the Polymarket US app. World's largest prediction market.

Trade Now →

49 eligible US states + D.C. ▾

Alabama · Alaska · Arizona · Arkansas · California · Colorado · Connecticut · Delaware · District of Columbia · Florida · Georgia · Hawaii · Idaho · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Louisiana · Maine · Maryland · Massachusetts · Michigan · Minnesota · Mississippi · Missouri · Montana · Nebraska · New Hampshire · New Jersey · New Mexico · New York · North Carolina · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Tennessee · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · Washington · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming.

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

Rebet · US Mobile Sweeps

100% purchase match up to $100

Use code SOCPREDICTS on the Rebet app — mobile only, 38 US states + D.C.

Claim on Rebet →

38 US states + D.C. ▾

Alabama · Alaska · Arkansas · Colorado · Delaware · District of Columbia · Florida · Georgia · Hawaii · Illinois · Indiana · Iowa · Kansas · Kentucky · Maine · Massachusetts · Minnesota · Mississippi · Missouri · Nebraska · New Hampshire · New Mexico · North Carolina · North Dakota · Ohio · Oklahoma · Oregon · Pennsylvania · Rhode Island · South Carolina · South Dakota · Texas · Utah · Vermont · Virginia · Washington · West Virginia · Wisconsin · Wyoming.

How to Read World Cup Prediction Markets

An outright price of 18¢ on a team to win the World Cup means the market gives them roughly an 18% chance — and that the $1 contract trades for 18¢ today. If you sum the cent prices across all teams, the total clusters around 100¢ (small margins above come from order-book spreads).

Prediction markets typically beat consensus expert picks at major tournaments. Real-money traders react to injuries, lineups, and form within minutes; pundit lists update once a week.

Keep exploring

• All Outright Markets

  Beyond the World Cup

• Players to Watch

  20 profiles, live odds

• Today's Predictions

  Across every league

• Methodology

  How we source prices

Sources

• Kalshi — soccer markets & rulebookLive contract prices and settlement rules for CFTC-regulated event contracts.
• Polymarket — sports marketsLive order books and market resolution rules.
• CFTC — event contractsUS regulator overseeing designated contract markets that list event contracts.
• FIFA — competitions & fixturesOfficial fixture, squad and tournament data used to label markets.

Frequently asked questions

Are the 2026 World Cup markets still open?

No. The tournament has concluded and its outright, group and top-scorer contracts have settled. Any World Cup markets shown above are the ones still listed by the exchanges.

How accurate were the World Cup prediction markets?

Across recent major tournaments, prediction-market favourites have won at close to the rate their prices implied, consistently outperforming expert polls and most statistical models.

Which soccer outrights can I trade now?

Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga and Ligue 1 title markets, the Champions League winner market, MLS Cup, and season-long top scorer contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket.

When is the next World Cup?

The next men's FIFA World Cup is in 2030. Long-dated host and winner markets appear years in advance but trade thinly until qualifying begins.